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Economic Forecast - War with Iran darkens outlook for inflation, growth and jobs as economists warn of mild stagflation

The economic outlook is worsening as the war with Iran keeps energy markets tight and confidence under pressure. A new Wall Street Journal survey says economists now expect weaker U.S. growth, higher ...

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Global economic outlook darkens as policymakers count cost of Iran war

Ajay Rajadhyaksha, global chair of research at Barclays, pointed in a note to clients to higher oil prices, a hawkish pivot by western central banks and a “thinner cushion” for consumers as the ...

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International Economic Outlook: April 2026

The announced ceasefire looks fragile and keeps Middle East risk elevated. We still assume active conflict ends by mid‑year and oil trends lower into H2 2026, but conviction on the outlook remains low ...

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UK forecast to see biggest hit to growth from Iran war out of major economies

The UK is facing the biggest hit to growth from the Iran war out of the G20 major economies, according to an influential global policy group.

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Germany cuts growth forecasts amid slow recovery

Simply sign up to the German economy myFT Digest -- delivered directly to your inbox. The German government has cut its GDP forecasts for the next two years as Europe’s largest economy struggles to ...

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